The PCE Index inflation data has been released on schedule, and it paints a rather grim outlook for the future. Inflation has reached a three-year high, and given that it is the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, it does not bode well for any impending rate cuts and may even raise the possibility of future rate increases.

This is somewhat offset by consumer spending having exceeded expectations, but this appears to be entirely related to high fuel prices, whether consumers want to spend that much or not.

Interest rates are financial numbers, but they also have a strong emotional effect on homebuyers. A small change in rate can make buyers feel excited, nervous, rushed, discouraged, or suddenly motivated. That emotional reaction is understandable, but it can also lead to decisions that are based more on fear than strategy.

When people choose a mortgage, they often focus on the life they have right now. They look at today’s income, today’s debts, today’s rent, and today’s goals. That makes sense because a mortgage approval is based heavily on current information. But the smartest buyers also invite their future self into the conversation.