With the release of the delayed PCE and CPI inflation data reports, the Federal Reserve has chosen to stick to its resolve and maintain the current interest rates. It remains to be seen whether this will result in maintaining them or even increasing rates, as reports have shown that inflation is remaining sticky for the average consumer. This has been exacerbated by the ongoing conflicts with Iran, which have pushed gasoline prices higher.
There is some speculation that the Federal Reserve may walk back a rate hike in order to combat this ongoing stubborn inflation, but there is little sign of that yet. Consumer sentiment has also been shown to be dropping, as prices from the conflicts in Iran have impacted consumers.
Consumer Price Index
Consumer prices rose at a modest pace in February in a report that normally would be well received by investors, but the conflict with Iran has raised oil prices and it threatens to undo the recent progress in lowering the rate of inflation. The consumer price index increased 0.3% last month, matching the Wall Street forecast.
PCI Index
Federal Reserve officials have grown more worried about sticky inflation in the past few months, and the central bank’s favorite price gauge shows why. Prices rose briskly in January and are on track to increase sharply in February. The personal consumption expenditures price index rose 0.3% in January, the government Friday, in a report delayed a few weeks by recent federal shutdowns. The increase matched the Wall Street forecast.
Consumer Sentiment
Federal Reserve officials have grown more worried about sticky inflation in the past few months, and the central bank’s favorite price gauge shows why. Prices rose briskly in January and are on track to increase sharply in February. The personal consumption expenditures price index rose 0.3% in January, the government Friday, in a report delayed a few weeks by recent federal shutdowns. The increase matched the Wall Street forecast.
Primary Mortgage Market Survey Index
- 15-Year FRM rates saw an increase of 0.07%, with the current rate at 5.50%
- 30-Year FRM rates saw an increase of 0.11%, with the current rate at 6.11%
MND Rate Index
- 30-Year FHA rates saw an increase of 0.15%, with current rates at 5.87%
- 30-Year VA rates saw an increase of 0.15%, with current rates at 5.89%
Jobless Claims
Initial Claims were reported to be 213,000 compared to the expected claims of 215,000. The prior week landed at 215,000.
What’s Ahead
The delayed Consumer Spending report is scheduled for release next week. Aside from that, it is expected to be a relatively light week for economic data.